Another NFL Draft is in the books, meaning now is a great time to grab some high-value Super Bowl bets. Our USA Legal Betting experts have three longshot bets to take home the Lombardi Trophy this winter.
Below, we’ll share why our experts are locking in these three teams at NFL betting sites. We’ll give you the latest odds and insights to help you bet with confidence using betting apps before the NFL season kicks off in the fall.
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +1400 at BetMGM Sportsbook
If you are looking for a high-value Super Bowl bet, the Texans are the best choice. We saw the young team rally around rookie quarterback CJ Stroud to the AFC Divisional last season. It was impressive given the young passing game and defense, but showed just how high their ceiling is.
The Texans would have been a popular Super Bowl pick if they returned their team from last year, but they have made some major upgrades. The offense got a boost with Joe Mixon taking over their floundering run game and Stefon Diggs giving them an elite receiver. That will help Stroud in his second season, and the two should form a deadly duo.
The Texans also made major upgrades on defense. They added one of the best pass rushers in the game in Danielle Hunter (16.5 sacks in 2023), filling one of the team’s top needs. They also added defensive tackle Denico Autry (11.5 sacks in 2023), giving them a talented run stopper and pass rusher in the middle.
We recommend grabbing the Texans before betting sites begin to adjust their odds as the season approaches.
Odds to win Super Bowl: +1800 at BetRivers Sportsbook
Like the Texans, the Packers were a very young team with a first-year quarterback that advanced to the divisional round in the playoffs. Jordan Love was the main reason for the team’s surprising success, finding his footing midseason to end up being one of the top passers in the NFC. Given that he is a year older, we expect him to make another jump in 2024.
The Packers had a great draft that gives them more depth, especially on the offensive line. That’s good news for newly acquired Josh Jacobs. The 2022 rushing leader regressed on a bad Raiders team last year, but Green Bay believes he can thrive in their system. While talented, the fact that the team released Aaron Jones makes it a high-stakes gamble.
While Jacobs was a major addition, none were bigger than former safety Xavier McKinney. The former Giant was a steal for the Packers in the offseason and fills a major need. While the Packers’ have depth at cornerback, poor safety play cost them games in 2023.
The Packers are a bit more of a risk given they play in a very competitive NFC North, but we love them at their current price.
Odds to win Super Bowl: +2200 at bet365 Sportsbook
This price is way too good to pass up. The Miami Dolphins saw their season come to a disappointing end thanks to a slew of injuries. The most crucial injuries hit their defense, which was talented by lacked the depth to overcome to loss of multiple stars. While that remains, a concern heading into 2024, we think their offense will be even better.
The Dolphins have added a couple of key pieces on offense in Jonnu Smith and Odell Beckham Jr. Both players have seen a drop off in production over the last few seasons, but they don’t need to be stars in a loaded Miami offense. They add high-quality depth and give defenses even more playmakers to cover.
The other reason we love this bet is that Miami’s defense is actually pretty good. Injuries hampered their production for much of last season, but they should be healthy in 2024. The team also added safety Jordan Poyer, giving them badly needed help in their secondary.
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