- Spread: Grambling +3.5 (-105) | Montana State -3.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Grambling +146 | Montana State -178
- Total: Over 134.5 (-115) | Under 134.5 (-105)
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Grambling State was fantastic in the SWAC this season, finishing with a 14-4 record. Their success came from their ability to play lock down defense. They were second in the conference in opponent scoring, allowing just 69.0 PPG. The problem is that they are tenth in scoring (67.6 PPG), leading to an ugly point differential of -1.4. That is a major red flag this time of season, and it isn’t the only one.
On top of their poor point differential, Grambling was awful when playing outside of the SWAC. They went 2-10 to start the season, losing to several small schools including Delaware State, Sam Houston, Troy, and SE Louisiana.
Montana State is lucky to be playing today. They finished fifth in the Big Sky, finishing with a 9-9 conference record. It’s hard to determine and trends or highlights from their schedule, failing to string together many wins. That all changed in the Big Sky Tournament when they won four straight games, posting an impressive +27-point differential.
The Bobcats biggest weapon is their ability to shoot from three. They led the Big Sky with a 36.7 3P% this season, led by guard Robert Ford II. The senior has been incredible this season, making 48% of his shots from the field and 42.6% from three. Hey, averaged 22.6 points and made almost 60% of his shots during the Big Sky Tournament.