While Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (SGA) is the least known name in the odds above, we think he is set up well to win his first MVP. The 25-year-old broke out last season and has continued to play at that level this season. He is averaging 30.7 points (4th in NBA), 5.7 rebounds, 4.7 assists, and 2.8 steals (Leads NBA) per game.
SGA can’t match the rebounds and assist totals of the other players in the top five, but his high-scoring and elite play on defense make him a strong MVP candidate. He currently leads the league in steal, averaging one full point more than the second ranked Donovan Mitchell. Those numbers will help him compete with the likes of Jokic and Embiid, which is one reason we are betting on him to win.
The other reason we love this bet is that SGA is the lone star on the Thunder. Jalen Williams is good and Chet Holmgren could end up being a superstar, but this is a young team. SGA has carried them on offense and defense, leading the team to the second-best record in the West. The four other favorites all have support from other stars, which will help SGA’s MVP case.
If SGA can help this young team to a top playoff spot, it will be very hard to deny him the MVP award.